UAE economic system anticipated to develop over 6% in 2022, IMF says – Gulf Updates

UAE economic system anticipated to develop over 6% in 2022, IMF says – Gulf Updates

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Gulf Update UAE economic system anticipated to develop over 6% in 2022, IMF says – Gulf Updates

The UAE’s economic system is anticipated to develop by way of greater than 6% this 12 months, after rising 3.8% in 2021, supported by way of a rebound in tourism, building and Expo 2020-related task from Dubai, mentioned the International Monetary Fund.

A 6% enlargement will be the perfect since 2011, when the economic system grew 6.9%. The UAE’s economic system grew by way of 8.4% within the first quarter of this 12 months, beating preliminary estimates, pushed by way of emerging oil costs and a hit Covid-19 mitigation measures.

“Economic growth has been robust this year,” mentioned Ali Al-Eyd, who led the IMF workforce that met with UAE government Nov. 2-17.

“Fiscal and exterior surpluses higher additional, making the most of upper oil costs, in addition to the removing of brief Covid-related fiscal fortify to companies and families because the pandemic regularly waned.

“Increased international uncertainty has led to better monetary inflows, contributing to speedy space value expansion in some segments.”

As oil costs fell neatly above $100 a barrel and have been at a just about two-month low on Monday, because of a slowing international economic system and a possible drop in call for from China, Brent, the benchmark for two-thirds of world crude, continues to be up 13% because the get started of the 12 months.

The UAE’s overseas industry for the primary six months of this 12 months exceeded 1 trillion dirhams ($272 billion), in comparison to 840 billion dirhams for a similar duration earlier than the pandemic.

Revenue from the tourism sector exceeded 19 billion dirhams within the first part of this 12 months and the whole selection of lodge consumers all through the similar duration reached 12 million.


Growth in lodge visitor numbers soared 42% in comparison to the similar duration earlier than the pandemic.

“Looking forward, the UAE’s financial outlook stays certain, supported by way of home task,” Al-Eyd mentioned.

The fund expects the rustic’s non-oil economic system to develop by way of round 4% in 2023 and boost up additional reforms.


Business task within the UAE’s non-oil personal sector economic system persevered to support in October as new industry and manufacturing rose along emerging call for and employment.

The seasonally adjusted S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index rose to 56.6 in October from 56.1 in September, neatly above the impartial 50 mark keeping apart enlargement from contraction.

Inflationary pressures, which might be quite low within the UAE in comparison to the remainder of the sector, are anticipated to regularly reasonable, Al-Eyd mentioned.


Inflation within the Emirates is anticipated to achieve 5.6% in 2022, in keeping with the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates.

Further building of home capital markets, together with thru native foreign money debt issuance by way of the government, will even fortify expansion, Al-Eyd mentioned.

Despite international financial uncertainty and headwinds, emerging oil costs and wholesome fiscal reserves will assist the UAE mitigate dangers, he mentioned.


“Banks have good enough mixture capital and plentiful liquidity, and asset high quality has stepped forward quite from pandemic-era peaks,” Al-Eyd mentioned.

The general web source of revenue of the ten biggest lenders within the UAE higher by way of greater than 24% within the first quarter of 2022, boosted by way of a vital building up of their web hobby source of revenue, as financial institution profitability is anticipated to extend as rates of interest hobby will increase additional.

GCC banks will get started subsequent 12 months on a cast footing and go back to close pre-pandemic ranges in 2022, S&P Global Ratings mentioned in a record previous this month.

“Credit growth to the domestic private sector has improved. The evolution of real estate prices and the expected further tightening of financial conditions underline the importance of close and continuous monitoring of financial stability,” Mr. Al-Eyd mentioned.

“We commend the UAE Central Bank’s persevered efforts to fortify the macroprudential framework and advertise the efficient control of non-performing loans.”

The IMF has identified and recommended the UAE for its “major efforts” associated with its National Anti-Money Laundering and Counter Terrorism Financing Strategy and Action Plan to additional fortify the regulatory regime.

The UAE seized and confiscated belongings price greater than Dh4.73 billion ($1.29 billion) within the twelve months to the tip of July, Hamid Al Zaabi, Director General of the UAE Executive Office for the struggle in opposition to cash laundering and the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT), instructed The National in an interview final month.

Assets price 2.54 billion dirhams have been seized by way of government whilst belongings price 2.19 billion dirhams have been confiscated by way of UAE government all through the duration of ‘a 12 months.

The IMF mentioned persevered development on deliberate fiscal reforms, together with the deliberate advent of company tax and the phasing into bankruptcy price constructions, will assist fortify expansion and monetary consolidation.

“Reforms under the UAE 2050 strategy are welcome and should be pursued, with a focus on economic diversification, to ensure a balanced energy transition and strong long-term economic growth,” Mr. Al-Eyd mentioned.

“Ongoing structural reforms, corresponding to the ones aimed toward supporting personal sector employment and girls’s exertions marketplace participation, expanding industry and overseas funding, and harnessing some great benefits of era and training, will give a contribution to making sure sustainable and inclusive expansion”.


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