Former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris are locked in a neck-and-neck race in key swing states as their campaigns enter the final weeks before Election Day, according to a new CNN poll.
Wednesday’s poll found Harris holding Trump has a slight lead in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump leads in Arizona. Meanwhile, Georgia, Nevada and Pennsylvania were undecided.
Harris has a 50-44% lead over Trump in Wisconsin and a 48-43% lead in Michigan. Trump has a 49-44% lead over Harris in Arizona. In the close states, Georgia and Nevada had Harris at 48% to Trump’s 47%, and in Pennsylvania, they were both tied at 47%.
CNN conducted its poll of likely voters from August 23 to 29, after the Democratic National Convention ended in Chicago. The poll has a margin of error of 4.9 percent.
Trump campaign pollsters say they are pleased with the former president’s current performance in national polls. They point out that the former president has a history of outperforming opinion polls.
“At this point in the race in 2016, Donald Trump was on average 5.9 points ahead of Hillary Clinton. At this point in the race in 2020, he was 6.9 points ahead of Joe Biden,” senior adviser Corey Lewandowski noted in an interview on “Fox News Sunday” this weekend.
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Still, Harris’ entry into the race has undeniably galvanized Democratic voters, who had a distressingly low enthusiasm level when President Biden was running for re-election.
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Other polls, however, show more encouraging signs for Trump, who is surpassing his 2020 scores. among Hispanics.
According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted Aug. 21-28, Hispanic voters give Trump a 42% to 37% lead over Harris on immigration policy. Across the electorate, 46% prefer Trump on immigration, compared to 36% who prefer Harris.
Hispanics, described as a diverse and fast-growing segment of the American electorate, prefer Harris’s approach to Trump’s by 18 points on health care and 23 points on climate change, the poll found. On the economy, the survey found that registered voters overall prefer Trump’s agenda to Harris’, 45% to 36%.
Meanwhile, Nate Silver, a prominent election forecaster, reduced Harris’ chances of Tuesday’s victory. He cited Harris’ relatively poor showing in Pennsylvania, the key state that controls the most Electoral College votes.
Silver also noted that Harris did not benefit from the DNC bounce as much as election models had predicted…
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